The relationship between the European Union and the United States represents one of the most consequential diplomatic and economic partnerships in modern history. “EU-US Relations: Cooperation or Competition?” examines the complex interplay between these two global powers, whose alliance has historically oscillated between deep strategic cooperation and intense rivalry. This essay explores how shared values and mutual interests coexist with competing economic agendas and divergent geopolitical priorities, creating a relationship that defies simple categorization. Against the backdrop of recent political shifts, mounting trade tensions, and evolving security challenges, this analysis investigates whether collaboration or rivalry will define the future of transatlantic relations in an increasingly multipolar world.
Historical Foundations of the Transatlantic Partnership
The modern relationship between the European Union and the United States has deep historical roots that stretch back to the aftermath of World War II. The foundation of contemporary EU-US relations was established through the Marshall Plan, an ambitious American initiative designed to rebuild Europe’s devastated economies and infrastructure1. This pivotal moment of American support for European reconstruction initiated a pattern of strategic cooperation that would define transatlantic relations throughout the Cold War era and beyond.
Since those early post-war years, the United States and the countries that would eventually form the European Union have maintained a relationship characterized by a fundamental duality – they have functioned simultaneously as “the closest of allies – and fierce economic competitors”1. This tension between cooperation and competition has persisted as a defining feature of the relationship, waxing and waning according to shifting global challenges and domestic political changes on both sides of the Atlantic.
The shared democratic values, commitment to market economies, and mutual security interests that united these partners during the Cold War created a strong foundation for ongoing cooperation. However, even during periods of close alignment, economic rivalry and competing regional interests have generated friction. This historical pattern of cooperation coexisting with competition provides essential context for understanding the complex dynamics that characterize contemporary EU-US relations.
Current State of Transatlantic Relations
The transatlantic relationship has entered a particularly turbulent phase following the return of Donald Trump to the White House in January 2025. Within just 31 days of his inauguration, the relationship between the United States and the European Union had become increasingly fraught, with multiple points of tension emerging across political, economic, and security dimensions2. This rapid deterioration suggests a significant shift from the more cooperative approach that characterized previous administrations.
Trade policy has quickly emerged as a primary source of friction. President Trump has implemented tariffs of 25% on steel and aluminum imports, justifying these measures as a response to perceived unfairness in trade relations2. His stated philosophy summarizes this approach: “On trade, I have decided for purposes of fairness that I will charge a reciprocal tariff, meaning whatever countries charge the United States of America… we will charge them”2. This unilateral action has created immediate economic consequences and provoked a strong response from European leaders.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has condemned these measures as “unjustified customs duties” and promised that they “will not go unanswered”2. She emphasized Europe’s economic leverage, declaring: “We are one of the world’s largest markets. We will use our tools to safeguard our economic security and interests. And we will protect our workers, our businesses and consumers at every turn”2. This exchange signals a potential escalation in trade tensions that could have far-reaching implications for the broader relationship.
Beyond trade disputes, the current administration’s approach to geopolitical issues has further strained relations. American engagement in peace negotiations regarding Ukraine has notably sidelined European partners, despite the conflict’s profound implications for European security2. Trump’s comments on Ukraine’s NATO aspirations—”I don’t see how a country in Russia’s position could allow them to join NATO… I think that’s why the war started”—have alarmed European allies by echoing Russian narratives about the conflict’s origins2.
These developments illustrate how the current relationship is marked by growing divergence rather than convergence on critical issues, raising fundamental questions about the future trajectory of EU-US cooperation.
Trade Relations and Economic Policies
The economic relationship between the European Union and the United States represents one of the world’s most significant trade and investment partnerships. In 2023, total trade flows between these two economic powerhouses reached approximately €1.6 trillion, with the EU maintaining an overall surplus of €48 billion, representing about 3% of this massive exchange5. More specifically, the EU held a €157 billion surplus in goods trade while experiencing a €109 billion deficit in services5. These figures underscore the scale and complexity of transatlantic economic interdependence.
The United States serves as the EU’s largest partner for goods exports and second largest for goods imports, while also ranking as the EU’s most important partner for both the export and import of services5. This mutual economic significance creates powerful incentives for maintaining constructive relations, even amid periods of political tension.
However, the recent reintroduction of tariffs by the United States has disrupted decades of progress toward free trade and economic integration. In early 2025, the Trump administration implemented a suite of tariffs targeting key European exports, including automobiles, advanced machinery, and agricultural products7. These protectionist measures, justified as necessary to defend American jobs and reduce the trade deficit, have had immediate economic consequences, with imports from the European Union declining by nearly 7% in the first quarter of 20257.
The European response has been similarly assertive. Retaliatory tariffs and non-tariff barriers have been implemented to shield domestic industries from the impact of American protectionism7. This coordinated countermeasure has contributed to an 8% drop in European exports to the United States since the American tariffs took effect7. The escalating cycle of retaliation threatens to undermine the principles of open markets and rules-based trade that have traditionally underpinned the transatlantic economic relationship.
Certain sectors have been disproportionately affected by these trade disputes. The automotive industry, which accounts for approximately 15% of the European Union’s industrial output, has experienced a production decline of nearly 12% compared to the previous year7. This significant contraction highlights how tariff policies can have concentrated impacts on specific industries, potentially triggering wider economic consequences including job losses and reduced investment.
Trade analysts project that if the current pattern of reciprocal tariffs continues unabated, international trade could contract by 4-5% over the next two years7. For export-dependent economies within the European Union, even a modest reduction in trade volumes translates to substantial economic losses. This outlook underscores how economic policies adopted by either party can have far-reaching implications beyond their immediate bilateral relationship.
Security Cooperation and Defense
Despite economic tensions, security cooperation remains a fundamental pillar of EU-US relations. The NATO alliance serves as the institutional backbone of this military and security partnership, providing a framework for coordinating defense efforts and responding to common threats. As described in official documents, the “EU-NATO strategic partnership is crucial to maintaining security and stability in the Euro-Atlantic area, and to protecting citizens in Europe and beyond”6. This collaboration is grounded in “shared values” and “the unequivocal commitment to promote and safeguard peace, freedom and prosperity in the Euro-Atlantic area”6.
The extensive overlap in membership—23 out of 27 EU member states are also NATO members6—creates natural alignment on many security objectives, though not without persistent tensions over burden-sharing and strategic priorities. This partnership encompasses several critical domains, including “countering hybrid threats,” developing “defense capabilities,” building capacity in partner countries, and coordinating “operational cooperation”6. These collaborative efforts are essential for addressing the complex security challenges that neither the EU nor the US could effectively manage alone.
However, significant disparities in defense capabilities and commitments continue to strain the relationship. Germany, despite its economic might, has faced criticism for being “unwilling and incapable of building up its own military strategy”4. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius has stated that “Germany must be ready for war by 2029,” yet according to the German parliament’s special commissioner for the Bundeswehr, “The Bundeswehr still has too little of everything”4. This gap between rhetoric and reality regarding European defense capabilities has been a persistent source of frustration for American policymakers.
The contrast between American and European military readiness creates an imbalance in the security partnership. As one analysis bluntly states, “The difference between the US’s willingness and ability to act, and Europe’s misalignment on foreign policy and lack of investment in defense capability, is stark”4. This disparity contributes to tensions within the alliance and raises questions about the sustainability of the current security arrangement.
Geopolitical conflicts like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have simultaneously reinforced the importance of transatlantic security cooperation while exposing divergent approaches to managing international crises. The current US administration’s unilateral approach to Ukraine peace negotiations—”keeping Europe sidelined” while initiating talks with Moscow2—illustrates how even shared security challenges can become sources of friction when consultation and coordination are lacking. Such unilateral actions raise concerns about the future of collaborative security and defense efforts in an increasingly unstable global environment.
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Strategic Autonomy and Global Leadership
The concept of European Strategic Autonomy has gained prominence in recent years, particularly championed by French President Emmanuel Macron. This vision is “imagined as autonomy from the United States and self-sufficiency in security matters”4. The pursuit of greater European independence reflects both practical concerns about overdependence on an increasingly unpredictable American ally and aspirational goals for the EU to emerge as a more influential global actor in its own right.
However, significant obstacles impede the realization of true strategic autonomy. Brexit delivered “a serious blow to the EU’s prestige and capacity to exercise geopolitical influence” by removing Britain, “the EU’s second largest economy and strongest military power”4. Additionally, internal political challenges within key member states have hampered efforts to develop coherent EU-wide positions on critical foreign policy and security issues.
The fundamental question of whether strategic autonomy is achievable or even desirable continues to divide European policymakers. Some analysts suggest the concept may be “dead on arrival” given current geopolitical realities4. The balance of power between the EU and US has shifted substantially toward the US over the past 15 years, complicating European ambitions for greater independence4. This power imbalance creates a situation where “Europeans feel increasingly incapable of acting and the US feels increasingly less interested in what Europeans think about security issues”4.
From the American perspective, assertions of European autonomy sometimes appear as challenges to US hegemony and leadership within the transatlantic alliance. American policymakers have often emphasized the continuing necessity of US security guarantees for European stability, particularly in the face of Russian aggression and other regional threats. This tension between European aspirations for greater independence and continuing American predominance in security matters creates an ongoing source of friction in the relationship.
The debate over strategic autonomy also reflects broader questions about the future of global leadership and the relative positions of the European Union and United States in an evolving international order. While the United States maintains unparalleled military capabilities and global influence, the European Union offers distinctive strengths as a regulatory power and champion of multilateral institutions. A constructive relationship would ideally leverage these complementary assets rather than treating them as competing visions for global leadership.
International Diplomacy and Institutional Approaches
The contrast between multilateralism vs. unilateralism represents a persistent tension in EU-US approaches to international diplomacy. Historically, the European Union has consistently advocated for multilateral solutions to global challenges, positioning itself as a champion of rules-based international order and institutional cooperation. This preference reflects both the EU’s own nature as a multilateral organization and its relatively limited hard power capabilities, which increase its reliance on international institutions and norms.
By contrast, American foreign policy has oscillated between multilateral engagement and unilateral action depending on the administration in power and the specific issues at stake. The current Trump administration has revived an “America First” approach that emphasizes bilateral negotiations, transactional diplomacy, and the pursuit of narrowly defined national interests over collective action. This philosophical divergence creates friction across a range of diplomatic initiatives and international commitments.
These contrasting approaches are evident in recent diplomatic developments surrounding Ukraine. While European leaders emphasize collective support through institutional frameworks—”We will continue to support Ukraine in negotiations, by providing security guarantees, in reconstruction and as a future member of the European Union”2—the current US administration has pursued direct negotiations with Russia while excluding European partners from the process2. This disparity in diplomatic methods reinforces perceptions of American unilateralism and creates challenges for coordinated transatlantic responses to shared concerns.
The use of economic sanctions as diplomatic tools reveals another dimension of both cooperation and competition between the EU and US. While both entities have deployed sanctions against common adversaries, differences in strategic priorities, economic interests, and legal approaches often result in varying levels of restrictiveness and enforcement. These disparities can undermine the effectiveness of sanctions regimes and create opportunities for sanctioned entities to exploit gaps between EU and US positions.
The institutional architecture of EU-US relations itself reflects attempts to manage the tension between cooperation and competition. Forums like the Trade and Technology Council established in 2021 were designed to “intensify trade cooperation in technology-intensive sectors”3. While these mechanisms have facilitated dialogue, they have not prevented the reemergence of protectionist policies and unilateral actions when domestic political calculations favor more confrontational approaches.
Despite these tensions, both the EU and US recognize the continued importance of coordination on major diplomatic initiatives, particularly regarding challenges from China and Russia. The question remains whether institutional frameworks can effectively channel competitive instincts into constructive outcomes rather than destructive rivalry.
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Technology, Innovation and Economic Security
The technological domain represents both a critical area of potential cooperation and an increasingly contested competitive space in EU-US relations. As digital transformation reshapes economies and societies, both partners recognize the strategic importance of leadership in technology and innovation. However, their approaches to achieving this leadership and their regulatory philosophies often diverge significantly.
The European Union has positioned itself as a global leader in technology regulation, establishing influential frameworks like the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the Digital Markets Act that set standards for privacy, competition, and digital governance. These regulatory initiatives reflect European priorities regarding consumer protection, privacy rights, and market competition. By contrast, the United States has traditionally favored a more market-driven approach with lighter regulatory oversight, enabling greater flexibility for technological innovation but potentially providing fewer protections against market concentration and data misuse.
These divergent regulatory philosophies have created friction, with American technology companies frequently criticizing European rules as overly restrictive while European officials express concern about the market dominance of US tech giants. President Trump’s comments about “EU action against US tech firms” being a justification for reciprocal tariffs5 illustrate how technology policy disagreements have become intertwined with broader trade disputes.
At the same time, both sides recognize the importance of collaboration in the face of technological competition from China and other emerging powers. The establishment of the EU-US Trade and Technology Council in 2021 represented an attempt to “intensify trade cooperation in technology-intensive sectors”3. While this initiative showed promise for aligning approaches to critical technologies, artificial intelligence governance, and supply chain resilience, its future effectiveness remains uncertain amid the current deterioration in relations.
The concept of “economic security” has gained prominence in both EU and US policy discussions, reflecting concerns about technological dependence, supply chain vulnerabilities, and strategic industrial capacity. Both partners are actively pursuing industrial policies aimed at securing domestic capabilities in critical sectors. As one analysis notes, “Both the EU and the US are intent on carving out an independent economic and industrial strategy. Both are using all their resources to dominate the future of economic growth”1. This parallel pursuit of economic security through industrial policy creates both opportunities for coordination and risks of wasteful duplication or harmful competition.
An optimal approach would leverage the complementary strengths of both partners: “Washington’s economic and financial power” could “guarantee the investment flows needed to carry out projects” while the EU could “assert its role as a global ‘standard setter’ and an actor at the center of a dense network of trade agreements with third countries”3. However, achieving this complementarity would require overcoming the current pattern of competitive industrial policies and divergent regulatory approaches.
Climate Change and Sustainable Development
While environmental cooperation represents a traditional area of transatlantic collaboration, approaches to climate change have also become a domain where competition and coordination coexist in complex ways. Both the European Union and the United States have made public commitments to addressing climate change and transitioning toward more sustainable economic models, yet their policy frameworks, implementation timelines, and international engagement strategies sometimes diverge significantly.
The European Union has positioned itself as a global leader in climate ambition, implementing comprehensive regulatory frameworks like the European Green Deal and establishing binding emissions reduction targets. This approach reflects both environmental priorities and strategic economic calculations, as Europe seeks to establish early advantages in green technologies and sustainable industrial processes. European policymakers often emphasize the potential for environmental leadership to deliver both ecological benefits and economic opportunities through the development of new industries and export markets.
American climate policy has been more variable, shifting dramatically between administrations. While the Biden administration rejoined the Paris Agreement and pursued significant climate legislation, the Trump administration’s return to power has raised questions about the continuity of US climate commitments and international leadership on environmental issues. This policy volatility creates challenges for transatlantic cooperation on climate initiatives and complicates efforts to establish shared approaches to environmental challenges.
The economic dimensions of climate policy have introduced new competitive dynamics into the relationship. Both the EU and US have implemented ambitious green industrial policies designed to accelerate the transition to clean energy while building domestic manufacturing capabilities in sectors like electric vehicles, batteries, and renewable energy technologies. These parallel industrial strategies sometimes create friction when they incorporate protectionist elements or divergent technical standards that fragment global markets for green technologies.
Despite these tensions, climate change remains an area where the complementary strengths of the EU and US could potentially be leveraged for mutual benefit. European regulatory expertise combined with American innovation capacity and financial resources could accelerate the development and deployment of climate solutions. However, realizing this potential requires overcoming the current tendency toward competitive rather than collaborative approaches to the green transition.
Human Rights and Democratic Values
Shared commitment to democracy and human rights has historically served as a unifying foundation for the transatlantic relationship. Both the European Union and the United States identify themselves as champions of liberal democratic values and universal human rights principles on the global stage. This alignment of fundamental values creates natural opportunities for cooperation in promoting democracy, supporting human rights defenders, and responding to authoritarian challenges worldwide.
The EU-NATO strategic partnership explicitly acknowledges this value dimension, noting that the relationship is “founded on shared values” and “the determination to tackle common challenges”6. This normative foundation provides an important counterbalance to the competitive economic and strategic dynamics that sometimes dominate the relationship, reminding both partners of their deeper ideological alignment in an increasingly contested global landscape.
However, even within this shared value framework, differences in approach and priority emerge. The European Union typically emphasizes economic, social, and cultural rights alongside civil and political freedoms, advocating for comprehensive human rights protections through multilateral institutions and binding international agreements. American human rights advocacy has traditionally focused more narrowly on civil and political liberties, often pursued through bilateral pressure and conditional economic relationships rather than multilateral frameworks.
These differences in emphasis and methodology sometimes create friction in coordinating responses to specific human rights challenges. While both partners may agree on the importance of addressing human rights violations in countries like China, Russia, or Iran, they may disagree on whether economic engagement, targeted sanctions, diplomatic isolation, or other tools represent the most effective approach. The application of economic sanctions for human rights purposes illustrates these tensions, with the EU sometimes pursuing more calibrated measures while the US implements more comprehensive restrictions.
Despite these tactical differences, the shared commitment to democratic values and human rights principles continues to provide an important foundation for cooperation in an increasingly multipolar world where alternative governance models are gaining influence. Maintaining this normative alignment while accommodating legitimate differences in implementation approaches represents an ongoing challenge for managing the transatlantic relationship.
Future Prospects: Navigating Cooperation and Competition
The future trajectory of EU-US relations will be shaped by how both partners navigate the inherent tension between cooperation and competition that has long characterized their relationship. Several factors will influence this balance in the coming years, including internal political dynamics, external geopolitical pressures, and economic imperatives.
Internal political developments will play a crucial role in determining whether cooperative or competitive impulses predominate. In Europe, upcoming elections could significantly reshape the continent’s approach to transatlantic relations. The German elections scheduled for February 23, 2025, might bring “a CDU-led coalition” that could alter Germany’s foreign policy orientation4. Similarly, domestic political pressures in the United States will continue to influence American engagement with European partners and commitment to traditional alliance structures.
The geopolitical environment will exert significant external pressure on the relationship. Ongoing challenges from Russia, China, and instability in the Middle East create powerful incentives for maintaining transatlantic coordination despite bilateral tensions1. As one analysis notes, “Both the EU and the US need the enduring benefits of cooperation via the transatlantic economic and security coordination to be successful”1. This shared interest in addressing common threats may help moderate competitive impulses and preserve essential cooperation on security matters.
Economic realities will also shape future prospects. The immense scale of transatlantic trade and investment creates strong constituencies on both sides with vested interests in avoiding destructive competition. Trade analysts project that if current tariff disputes continue unabated, “international trade could contract by as much as 4 to 5 percent over the next two years”7—an outcome that would harm both economies and potentially trigger broader global economic instability. Recognition of these economic interdependencies may eventually encourage a return to more cooperative approaches, even if current rhetoric emphasizes competition and protection of narrow national interests.
The potential for renewed cooperation exists in various domains. Some analysts suggest that “The U.S. and EU could leverage each other’s strengths to create an economic area unmatched by the rest of the world”3. A modernized trade agreement—potentially a “TTIP 2.0″—could significantly enhance transatlantic cooperation and “shift the needle of the global geo-economic balance”3. However, such an agreement currently “still seems like a pipe dream” given prevailing political conditions3.
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Conclusion: A Balanced Assessment
The relationship between the European Union and the United States defies simple categorization as either predominantly cooperative or competitive. Instead, it embodies elements of both, with the balance shifting according to the specific issue, the prevailing political leadership, and the broader geopolitical context. This fundamental duality—functioning simultaneously as “the closest of allies – and fierce economic competitors”1—has characterized the relationship from its post-war origins to the present day.
The current period of heightened tension, marked by trade disputes, divergent approaches to Ukraine, and competing industrial policies, represents a particularly competitive phase in this ongoing relationship. However, this competition exists alongside continuing cooperation on security matters through NATO, shared concerns about Russian aggression and Chinese economic practices, and common democratic values that distinguish both partners from authoritarian alternatives.
The interconnectedness of the transatlantic economy—with approximately €1.6 trillion in annual trade flows5—creates powerful structural incentives for maintaining functional cooperation despite political frictions. Similarly, shared security concerns and defense commitments through NATO bind these partners together even when disagreements emerge on specific tactical approaches or burden-sharing arrangements.
Looking ahead, the most productive path forward would involve recognizing where cooperation serves mutual interests while managing competition in a manner that doesn’t undermine shared strategic objectives. The challenge for policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic will be finding this balance—leveraging complementary strengths and maintaining essential coordination while pursuing legitimate domestic priorities and adapting to a rapidly changing global landscape.
The enduring value of the transatlantic partnership lies precisely in its ability to accommodate both cooperation and competition within a broader framework of shared fundamental interests and values. This flexibility has allowed the relationship to weather previous periods of tension and will likely prove essential for navigating current challenges and future uncertainties in the complex dance between these two global powers.
References:
- US-EU relations: The 31 days that shook the transatlantic partnership
- Is the concept of EU Strategic Autonomy dead?
- EU-US trade: how tariffs could impact Europe
- Strategic Autonomy: A New Identity for the EU as a Global Actor
- Bilateral relations with United States of America
- A new transatlantic trade and tech agenda: economic security standards can address the EU’s and Washington’s concerns about China
- Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
- EU-US Relations